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Power

Who actually holds authority once a system is built, and who is accountable when it fails.

Essays & snapshots

VasyGrek arrests: how Russia polices its own hackers

The VasyGrek case fits a pattern in which the line Russia draws around cybercrime runs through the victim, not the crime. A rare arrest of a group that hit Russian firms shows where tolerance may end, and how little the public record says about why the state acted now.

Essay6 min read

Binance hack: who decides when stolen crypto is frozen?

Stablecoin issuers froze about $3bn of the funds stolen from Binance within hours, according to Binance. Their freezing powers are written down. What outsiders cannot see is how those powers are applied, and who can challenge a decision.

Essay5 min read

Human control of military AI: safeguard or weak point?

Human judgment is the main safeguard in US military AI, and the thing a fast, jammed battlefield wears away. Pentagon policy requires only appropriate human judgment, while Palantir says Maven cuts two weeks of staff planning to one person and four hours.

Essay6 min read

The Camorra has gone digital. So has the state.

In Naples, organised crime uses drones, encrypted phones, online betting and social media to extend its reach. Italian investigators are responding with intercepted communications, financial intelligence and AI. The technology changes the contest, but neither side has escaped the old rules of power, money and intimidation.

Essay5 min read

Yandex strikes: did they cut Russian disinformation?

After Ukrainian drones hit three Yandex data centres, officials and commentators said Russian disinformation had fallen in Ukraine, Europe, the US and the UK. The evidence published so far does not support that, and the traffic chart behind the claim measured something else.

Essay5 min read

Cockroach Janta Party: built online, tracked offline

The Cockroach Janta Party reached 22 million Instagram followers in about two weeks, then saw Delhi Police seal its protest site and detain its founders after tracking them for days, according to police officers. The platforms that made the movement cheap to build also made it visible, and the government can order those platforms to restrict access in ways the movement cannot.

Essay9 min read

The Pentagon can order an execution. Can it order YouTube to show it?

The Pentagon says it will livestream a military execution on 3 December, but has not said where. The companies that spent a decade removing execution videos from their platforms may refuse to carry it, and the US government may discover how little of the pipeline between camera and audience it actually controls.

Essay7 min read

The AI election has no control group

American campaigns have adopted generative AI faster than almost any tool in modern politics. Laboratory experiments show it can persuade attentive voters, while decades of field research suggest that campaign contact rarely produces measurable changes in candidate choice. The midterms will be read as a verdict on AI, though they were not designed to deliver one.

Essay6 min read

A crime gang with a grievance

ShinyHunters says it hacked the FBI's recruitment systems in retaliation for a public warning, and wants the warning withdrawn. The group is still best described as criminal. What that word cannot capture is how much a loose, arrest-resistant network can now do to a state institution.

Analysis7 min read

Who holds the brake?

The heads of OpenAI and Anthropic now say AI is moving too fast. Whether they mean it matters less than the question this summer's incidents have raised: when the danger is visible mainly to the builders, who gets to stop the machine?

Essay8 min read

Washington's China chip review turns the gate into a policy

Trump's plan to let Nvidia sell its H200 chip to China has moved from a licensing review to a formal change in Commerce Department policy, even as the House moves separately to close the cloud-rental loophole that let Chinese firms reach restricted chips anyway.

AI is turning electricity into ammunition

The American military's appetite for fuel is famous enough to travel as a statistic without its footnotes. The more consequential change is quieter. Drones, sensors and battlefield AI have opened a second supply line, one measured in batteries, generators and watts, and the industrial base that would sustain it sits largely in China.

Essay6 min read

Who gets to say what the machines did

Anthropic has published the most detailed public account yet of how artificial intelligence is being used for espionage, propaganda and fraud. It found the activity in its own systems, named the actors, imposed the penalty and released the evidence. The question is what happens when a record like this can only be assembled by the company whose product generated the telemetry.

Essay8 min read

America's AI chip wall now has a gate

Washington spent years blocking Nvidia's best AI chips from China. It is now licensing selected Chinese buyers for the H200 — not the end of export controls, but a different idea of what they're for.

Washington wants to win the AI race. Rome says the race is the problem.

American AI policy begins from the premise that there is a race with China and that America must win it. Pope Leo XIV's first encyclical begins from the premise that treating AI as a race is itself the danger. Peter Thiel thinks that makes the pope an ally of Beijing. Underneath the row sits a question neither side can avoid: who gets a say in what these machines are for?

Essay9 min read

Abu Dhabi discovered another kind of power

In 2006 an Emirati company was forced out of American port terminals by a congressional revolt. Twenty years later two Abu Dhabi firms have been granted licence-free access to the most controlled technology the United States produces, on condition that they become American companies within a year. Something changed, and it was not only the money.

Essay6 min read

Detection got cheap. Jurisdiction did not.

In January a Chinese-owned fishing vessel spent ninety minutes inside Argentina's waters. Nobody boarded it. Argentina fined it anyway, largely on the strength of its electronic track. The case shows how far maritime surveillance has come, and where its limits now lie.

Essay8 min read

Russia decides sovereignty means building its own AI

Putin has ordered a national task force, since formalised by decree into a presidential commission, to coordinate Russia's generative AI push, framing reliance on foreign models as a security risk.

An eighteenth-century constitution in a machine age

The American Bill of Rights was written for a world of muskets, town squares and letters kept in a locked drawer. Two and a half centuries of invention have moved much of private life and public speech into places the framers never pictured. The question is whether the amendments have lost their grip on modern life, or whether their broad wording is exactly what allows them to keep up.

Essay7 min read

The war didn't build the drone age — but it is splitting it in two

Passenger aircraft, agricultural fleets and medical-delivery networks were built largely from civilian technology and regulatory reform, rather than battlefield breakthroughs. The war's clearest legacy so far has been to turn their shared, China-centred supply chain into a strategic weapon.

Essay7 min read

The coalition is the network

The MAGA online ecosystem is usually described as a media empire. It is better understood as a merger of three trust networks — partisan media, charismatic Christianity, and armed fraternity — and its resilience comes from that redundancy. What happens when the legal deterrent aimed at one of those networks is switched off?

Essay7 min read

The Tightrope: India's Year of Hedging Everyone

In six months India bought record Russian oil, signed a landmark trade deal with Europe, thawed with China, and quietly defied Washington. Is multi-alignment a strategy — or a stress position?

Essay · Geopolitics9 min read